Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.94
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.76
X/2
10%
6.86
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.15
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.36/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.22
-10% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
237 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 176 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rochdale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
320 Passes 304
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
08.02.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
17.08.2021 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-0
AWAY Rochdale
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers squeezed past Rochdale 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Forest Green Rovers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 36% of the ball to Rochdale's 64%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 0.67 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Rochdale?

Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Rochdale in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 40%, draw 28%, Rochdale 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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