York City 1-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

York City
1-2 HT 0-2
Sutton United
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

York City vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.15
X/1
17%
4.08
X/2
10%
10.7
X/X
10%
5.74
2/1
9%
21.65
2/2
12%
8.56
2/X
7%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York City v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
2.29/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.95
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +65%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

York City vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Sutton United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 2-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
11.03.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 2-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
29.10.2016 York City York City 2-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

York City 1-2 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
1-2
AWAY Sutton United
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
1 Passes 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH York City vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United nicked a narrow win over York City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, York City had 70% of the ball to Sutton United's 30%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for York City and 2.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of York City vs Sutton United?

York City 1-2 Sutton United in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split York City 46%, draw 26%, Sutton United 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (York City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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