Woking 1-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.85
X/1
21%
3.77
X/2
8%
15.35
X/X
10%
6.87
2/1
8%
21.7
2/2
7%
13.15
2/X
8%
21.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.5pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.73/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.63
-21% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
146 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 112 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-3 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL
20.02.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
19.09.2023 Woking Woking 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
28.01.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
22.10.2019 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
19.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Woking Woking FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
1-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Woking vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking and Ebbsfleet United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Woking carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Woking had 59% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 41%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Woking and 1.00 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Woking vs Ebbsfleet United?

Woking 1-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Woking win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Woking 55%, draw 25%, Ebbsfleet United 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Woking), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Woking) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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