Eastleigh 1-2 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 36% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.09
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
16%
6.06
X/2
9%
5.38
X/X
10%
4.78
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
20%
3.4
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.72/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.55
+27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
108 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 110 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Altrincham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
27.01.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
18.11.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
18.03.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
26.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
12.03.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-2
AWAY Altrincham
37% Ball Possession 63%
2 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 9
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham nicked a narrow win over Eastleigh 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Altrincham found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastleigh had 37% of the ball to Altrincham's 63%, shots finished 2-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eastleigh and 2.17 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Altrincham?

Eastleigh 1-2 Altrincham in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 39%, draw 25%, Altrincham 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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