Altrincham 0-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 29% vs market 20.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.72
1/2
10%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.61
X/2
8%
7.13
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
11%
4.97
2/X
11%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.65
+45% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Eastleigh
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
18.11.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
18.03.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
26.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
12.03.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
23.10.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
0-1
AWAY Eastleigh
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh nicked a narrow win over Altrincham 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Altrincham at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Altrincham had 55% of the ball to Eastleigh's 45%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Altrincham and 1.33 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Eastleigh?

Altrincham 0-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 43%, draw 29%, Eastleigh 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Altrincham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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