Altrincham 4-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.41
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
31%
2.61
6+ Goals
17%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.63
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
18.45
X/1
21%
3.7
X/2
8%
15.1
X/X
8%
7.56
2/1
8%
19.95
2/2
6%
10.75
2/X
5%
18.65
Value flag · 1/X at 18.45 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.4pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 17%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.70/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.82
+26% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
18.03.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
26.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
12.03.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
23.10.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
25.05.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
4-0
AWAY Eastleigh
57% Ball Possession 43%
30 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham ran out comfortable winners over Eastleigh 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Altrincham had 57% of the ball to Eastleigh's 43%, shots finished 30-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Altrincham and 1.50 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Eastleigh?

Altrincham 4-0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 58%, draw 22%, Eastleigh 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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