Barnet 2-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Aug 2024

Barnet
2-1 HT 1-0
Southend United
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Barnet vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.75
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
9%
7.2
X/X
10%
4.64
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.34
2/X
10%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnet v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.70/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.27
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Barnet vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Southend United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
26.12.2023 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
03.03.2023 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
01.11.2022 Barnet Barnet 0-3 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
18.04.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-3 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United İBSL
01.02.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 2-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL

Barnet 2-1 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
2-1
AWAY Southend United
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet squeezed past Southend United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Barnet made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barnet had 51% of the ball to Southend United's 49%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barnet and 1.33 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Southend United?

Barnet 2-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barnet 39%, draw 28%, Southend United 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ BTTS Yes
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