Rochdale 1-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.92
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.49
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.65
X/1
25%
4.08
X/2
5%
19.1
X/X
9%
8.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
20.0
2/2
4%
15.0
2/X
5%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 17% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.4pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
2.29/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.37
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 151 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 4-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
07.09.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
27.01.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
18.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
16.12.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 4-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town FAK
07.12.2014 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
1-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale squeezed past Aldershot Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 48% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 52%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rochdale and 0.83 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Aldershot Town?

Rochdale 1-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 66%, draw 21%, Aldershot Town 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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