Yeovil 0-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.28
1/2
16%
24.0
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
7%
10.2
X/2
13%
4.24
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.15
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
20%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
55%
Away Win
56%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
0.81/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.06
-29% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Southend United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Yeovil Yeovil 2-2 HT 2-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
09.11.2024 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
14.10.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
01.04.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
01.10.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
26.03.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 2-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
0-1
AWAY Southend United
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United squeezed past Yeovil 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yeovil had 51% of the ball to Southend United's 49%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yeovil had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yeovil and 0.83 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Southend United?

Yeovil 0-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 20%, draw 24%, Southend United 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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