Rochdale 4-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.46
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.8
X/1
11%
4.44
X/2
9%
8.46
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
5%
24.2
2/2
13%
6.62
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.5pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
1.81/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.55
+13% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 162 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
27.01.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
18.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
16.12.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 4-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town FAK
07.12.2014 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale FAK
29.03.2013 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
4-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale swept aside Aldershot Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Rochdale had 56% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 44%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rochdale and 1.00 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Aldershot Town?

Rochdale 4-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 42%, draw 29%, Aldershot Town 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
29 Mar 2025
15:30 Forest Green Rovers vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
18:00 Barnet vs Gateshead Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
18:00 Woking vs Braintree Town Analysis →