Barnet 3-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.76 — our 28% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.66
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.0
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
7%
15.25
X/X
12%
7.19
2/1
9%
20.7
2/2
7%
12.2
2/X
5%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
2.45/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.52
+31% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
149 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 110 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
27.01.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
18.11.2023 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-3 HT 3-1 Barnet Barnet FAK
07.01.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
13.08.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 0-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
3-1
AWAY Gateshead
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet beat Gateshead 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Barnet had 53% of the ball to Gateshead's 47%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barnet and 2.00 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Gateshead?

Barnet 3-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Barnet 55%, draw 24%, Gateshead 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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