Yeovil 1-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.83
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.7
X/2
13%
7.48
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
6%
5.83
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.06/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.78
-31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
128 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 127 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
2W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Fylde
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-4 HT 2-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
21.12.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
14.09.2019 Yeovil Yeovil 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
1-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil nicked a narrow win over AFC Fylde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yeovil as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yeovil had 60% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 40%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yeovil had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Yeovil and 2.33 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs AFC Fylde?

Yeovil 1-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 45%, draw 30%, AFC Fylde 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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