Aldershot Town 0-2 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Sep 2024

Aldershot Town
0-2 HT 0-2
Rochdale
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Aldershot Town vs Rochdale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.83 — our 27% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.16
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
14%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.45
X/2
13%
6.25
X/X
11%
5.55
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
14%
3.82
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Rochdale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.55/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.37
+8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Aldershot Town vs Rochdale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
18.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
16.12.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 4-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town FAK
07.12.2014 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale FAK
29.03.2013 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İN2
15.12.2012 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN2

Aldershot Town 0-2 Rochdale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
0-2
AWAY Rochdale
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale got the better of Aldershot Town 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rochdale found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 59% of the ball to Rochdale's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.67 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Rochdale?

Aldershot Town 0-2 Rochdale in the England - National League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 37%, draw 30%, Rochdale 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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