Ross County 0-3 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.82
No
40%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 24% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.66
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.52
X/2
7%
7.76
X/X
11%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
19%
6.1
2/X
7%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.89/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.12
+16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.0 Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
27.09.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
22.07.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
09.03.2019 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
04.01.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
27.10.2018 Ross County Ross County 5-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
25.08.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton ran out comfortable winners over Ross County 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ross County and 0.83 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Greenock Morton?

Ross County 0-3 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ross County 44%, draw 26%, Greenock Morton 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ross County), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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