St. Johnstone 4-3 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
6%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.44
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
23.55
X/1
18%
3.74
X/2
2%
22.7
X/X
7%
7.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.45
2/2
2%
21.0
2/X
7%
28.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
75%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
6%
Away Win
9%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.50/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.77
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Queens Park
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.09.2025 Queens Park Queens Park 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
25.09.2012 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 4-1 HT 2-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKLK
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone edged past Queens Park 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.00 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Queens Park?

St. Johnstone 4-3 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 73%, draw 21%, Queens Park 6%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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