Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.16
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
17%
5.17
X/2
13%
6.55
X/X
9%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.56
2/X
8%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.34
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.2 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.67 xG 1.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
267 Passes 401
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.02.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
28.09.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
13.08.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNLK
10.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İNTK
26.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
05.08.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
1-0
AWAY Blackpool
0.67 xG 0.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
164 Passes 232
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion squeezed past Blackpool 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burton Albion as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 44% of the ball to Blackpool's 56%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.67 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Burton Albion and 2.00 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Blackpool?

Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 41%, draw 25%, Blackpool 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burton Albion) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✗ BTTS Yes
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