Accrington Stanley 3-1 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.41
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
12%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.2
X/X
9%
4.22
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
19%
4.69
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.34/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.3 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
217 Passes 245
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
24.09.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
09.03.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4-1 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
02.02.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 6-1 HT 4-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
07.09.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-3 HT 2-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
12.01.2019 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
3-1
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.77 xG 1.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
150 Passes 260
56% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley got the better of Bristol Rovers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Accrington Stanley made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 40% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.77 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.33 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Bristol Rovers?

Accrington Stanley 3-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 39%, draw 25%, Bristol Rovers 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accrington Stanley), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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