Fleetwood Town 1-1 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.03
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.13
X/2
8%
5.5
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
26%
3.4
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.47/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 70%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.0 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Swindon Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
263 Passes 235
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
07.12.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
20.03.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
12.12.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
01.04.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
17.12.2016 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-1
AWAY Swindon Town
0.84 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
163 Passes 305
59% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 27
33 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Swindon Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 42% of the ball to Swindon Town's 58%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.84 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.83 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town?

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 34%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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