Milton Keynes Dons 2-0 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.06
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.19
X/2
13%
6.72
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
2/2
10%
4.55
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.48/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
+30% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.9 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Salford City
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.18 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.01.2025 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
02.09.2024 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
09.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 HT 3-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
25.11.2023 Salford City Salford City 2-4 HT 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
2-0
AWAY Salford City
1.79 xG 1.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
206 Passes 286
62% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milton Keynes Dons got the better of Salford City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milton Keynes Dons as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 46% of the ball to Salford City's 54%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.79 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.25 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Salford City?

Milton Keynes Dons 2-0 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 47%, draw 22%, Salford City 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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