Shrewsbury vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shrewsbury v Newport County — Team-Based Signals
Shrewsbury vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Newport County
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Shrewsbury
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Shrewsbury
FAK
Shrewsbury 1-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics
Shrewsbury nicked a narrow win over Newport County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shrewsbury as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Shrewsbury had 49% of the ball to Newport County's 51%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.98 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shrewsbury and 0.25 for Newport County.
What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Newport County?
Shrewsbury 1-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Newport County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shrewsbury win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 49%, draw 26%, Newport County 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shrewsbury), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.