Fleetwood Town 0-4 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.79
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.67
X/2
14%
7.49
X/X
8%
4.58
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.76
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.45 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.36/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.46
-30% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
15.0 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Swindon Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
256 Passes 237
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
20.03.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
12.12.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
01.04.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
17.12.2016 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
02.04.2016 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
0-4
AWAY Swindon Town
0.95 xG 2.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
286 Passes 229
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town cruised past Fleetwood Town 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Swindon Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 55% of the ball to Swindon Town's 45%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.95 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.33 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town?

Fleetwood Town 0-4 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 40%, draw 26%, Swindon Town 34%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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