Cheltenham Town 0-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.98
1/2
8%
24.2
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
12%
9.72
X/2
12%
4.22
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.23
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 58%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.14/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.83
+31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.3
20.8 Crosses 23.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.78 xG 0.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
199 Passes 288
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
05.03.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
23.10.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-2 HT 2-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
11.03.2017 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
20.08.2016 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
20.01.2009 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
0-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.18 xG 1.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
106 Passes 178
51% Pass Accuracy 62%
12 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers saw off Cheltenham Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 42% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 58%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.18 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.83 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Cheltenham Town 0-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 27%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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