Walsall 2-3 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.55
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
12%
5.02
X/2
12%
6.13
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
14%
4.8
2/X
10%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.37/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.25
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 67%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.3 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Port Vale
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
194 Passes 235
61% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
23.04.2022 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
23.11.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
23.01.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 1-3 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
19.12.2020 Walsall Walsall 4-3 HT 0-2 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
22.02.2020 Walsall Walsall 2-2 HT 1-2 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-3
AWAY Port Vale
2.16 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
160 Passes 260
60% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale nicked a narrow win over Walsall 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Port Vale found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Walsall had 44% of the ball to Port Vale's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.16 to 1.55 — on chances, Walsall could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Walsall and 1.00 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Port Vale?

Walsall 2-3 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Walsall 40%, draw 29%, Port Vale 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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