Port Vale 0-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 33% vs market 31.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
8%
5.27
X/2
16%
5.6
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
14%
4.12
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.45/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.11
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
258 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 66%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.7 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Walsall
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.73 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
239 Passes 199
64% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2022 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
23.11.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
23.01.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 1-3 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
19.12.2020 Walsall Walsall 4-3 HT 0-2 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
22.02.2020 Walsall Walsall 2-2 HT 1-2 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
07.12.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0-1
AWAY Walsall
0.63 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
253 Passes 147
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall squeezed past Port Vale 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Walsall found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Port Vale had 59% of the ball to Walsall's 41%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.63 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Port Vale and 2.17 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Walsall?

Port Vale 0-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 37%, draw 28%, Walsall 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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