Gillingham 1-0 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.52
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 38% vs market 33.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
19%
5.26
X/2
13%
5.27
X/X
15%
4.03
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.0
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.5pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +16%
1.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.23
-24% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 70%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.4 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
242 Passes 325
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.11.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 3-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
08.05.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
03.12.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-3 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-0
AWAY Salford City
0.30 xG 0.61
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
135 Passes 396
57% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 29
3 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham squeezed past Salford City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Gillingham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Gillingham had 32% of the ball to Salford City's 68%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.30 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gillingham and 1.00 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Salford City?

Gillingham 1-0 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 39%, draw 30%, Salford City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
7 Dec 2024
15:30 Port Vale vs Walsall Analysis →
15:30 Crewe Alexandra vs Bradford City Analysis →
18:00 Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Doncaster Rovers vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Harrogate Town vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
18:00 Morecambe vs Grimsby Town Analysis →