Morecambe 0-3 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

Morecambe
0-3 HT 0-2
Grimsby Town
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Morecambe vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.74
1/2
11%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.64
X/2
14%
5.68
X/X
11%
4.62
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
13%
3.77
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Morecambe v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.45/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.32
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
20.3 Crosses 20.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Morecambe vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
187 Passes 287
59% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
11.11.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
20.04.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
26.12.2020 Morecambe Morecambe 3-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
05.09.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İNLK
15.02.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2

Morecambe 0-3 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
0-3
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.75 xG 2.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
217 Passes 229
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 40
25 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town ran out comfortable winners over Morecambe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Grimsby Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Morecambe had 49% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 51%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.75 to 2.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Morecambe and 1.33 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Grimsby Town?

Morecambe 0-3 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 36%, draw 27%, Grimsby Town 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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