Harrogate Town 0-3 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.78
1/2
11%
29.0
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
8%
7.07
X/2
11%
4.31
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.9
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.14/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.35
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 69%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
17.6 Crosses 24.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
0W-2D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.83 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 Passes 293
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
10 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
03.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
07.04.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
29.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-2 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
0-3
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.26 xG 2.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
217 Passes 178
67% Pass Accuracy 60%
10 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon cruised past Harrogate Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Wimbledon as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 52% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 48%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.26 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.75 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

Harrogate Town 0-3 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 29%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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