Chesterfield 3-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

Chesterfield
3-0 HT 2-0
Tranmere Rovers
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 32% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.4
X/2
11%
8.24
X/X
14%
4.7
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
10%
6.19
2/X
9%
14.05
Value flag · X/1 at 4.4 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesterfield v Tranmere Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.39/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.48
-2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.0 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
01.12.2012 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
14.08.2012 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNLK
03.03.2012 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
09.11.2011 Chesterfield Chesterfield 4-3 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNTK
06.08.2011 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
10.11.2007 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-2 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers FAK

Chesterfield 3-0 Tranmere Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
3-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.06 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield ran out comfortable winners over Tranmere Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesterfield had 51% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 49%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.06 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chesterfield and 1.33 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers?

Chesterfield 3-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 46%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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