Doncaster Rovers 2-2 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

Doncaster Rovers
2-2 HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Doncaster Rovers vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.5
X/1
13%
3.66
X/2
11%
12.0
X/X
9%
5.94
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
10%
9.54
2/X
9%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doncaster Rovers v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.80/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.47
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 65%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
29.2 Crosses 15.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Doncaster Rovers vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 2.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
282 Passes 225
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
23.10.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-2 HT 2-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
11.03.2017 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
20.08.2016 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
20.01.2009 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town FAK
13.01.2009 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers FAK

Doncaster Rovers 2-2 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2-2
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.06 xG 0.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 Passes 148
74% Pass Accuracy 58%
28 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers and Cheltenham Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 62% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 38%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.06 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.00 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Cheltenham Town?

Doncaster Rovers 2-2 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 49%, draw 24%, Cheltenham Town 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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