Grimsby Town vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grimsby Town v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals
Grimsby Town vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Morecambe
İN2
0-3
HT 0-2
Morecambe
İN2
3-1
HT 0-1
Grimsby Town
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Morecambe
İNLK
Grimsby Town 3-1 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics
Grimsby Town beat Morecambe 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grimsby Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Grimsby Town had 54% of the ball to Morecambe's 46%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.33 to 0.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.67 for Morecambe.
What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Morecambe?
Grimsby Town 3-1 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Morecambe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 47%, draw 29%, Morecambe 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.