Jong Sparta 2-2 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.28
No
36%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
74%
-10.0pp
36%
BTTS No
26%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.03/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/1.37
+37% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 3-4 HT 2-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
02.03.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-0 HT 1-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
21.11.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
2-2
AWAY Jong Almere City
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta and Jong Almere City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Almere City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 47% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 53%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Jong Sparta and 1.33 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City?

Jong Sparta 2-2 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 35%, draw 20%, Jong Almere City 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Almere City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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