Aston Villa (K) 3-1 West Ham United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.9pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.19/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.39
-61% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
65.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
35.0 Crosses 9.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY West Ham United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
28.04.2024 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
3-1
AWAY West Ham United (K)
2.16 xG 1.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
474 Passes 268
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa (K) vs West Ham United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) saw off West Ham United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 61% of the ball to West Ham United (K)'s 39%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.16 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Aston Villa (K) 3-1 West Ham United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 48%, draw 25%, West Ham United (K) 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
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