Everton (K) 2-1 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

Everton (K)
2-1 HT 2-0
Manchester City (K)
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
+7.7pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.7pp
67%
Away Win
79%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.63/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.53
-38% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -40%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 51.0
7.9 Crosses 20.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.86 xG 2.22
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
223 Passes 478
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
29.09.2019 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
20.02.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
20.09.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
20.05.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
07.10.2017 Everton (K) Everton (K) 2-3 HT 1-3 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Everton (K) 2-1 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
2-1
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.45 xG 3.13
20% Ball Possession 80%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
99 Passes 635
58% Pass Accuracy 92%
9 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton (K) nicked a narrow win over Manchester City (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester City (K) at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Everton (K) had 20% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 80%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.45 to 3.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Manchester City (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Everton (K) and 2.67 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Everton (K) 2-1 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 15%, draw 18%, Manchester City (K) 67%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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