Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
1-3 HT 0-2
Crystal Palace
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
15%
8.01
X/X
14%
5.01
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
9%
5.85
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.48/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.40
-14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.8 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 0.92
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
594 Passes 301
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-1 HT 3-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
21.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
15.03.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
11.02.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
14.01.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
27.09.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1-3
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 xG 2.31
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
503 Passes 225
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Albion at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 65% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 35%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.00 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.83 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 43%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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