Cadiz II 1-0 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
18%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+26% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz II
1-0
AWAY Almeria II
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cadiz II vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz II squeezed past Almeria II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Cadiz II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cadiz II had 43% of the ball to Almeria II's 57%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Cadiz II vs Almeria II?

Cadiz II 1-0 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz II vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cadiz II 37%, draw 28%, Almeria II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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