Pena Deportiva 0-1 UD Alzira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.66/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.49
+18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
3W-1D-0L
AWAY UD Alzira
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 3-1 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
03.09.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 0-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
05.03.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 1-2 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
16.10.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 1-1 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
0-1
AWAY UD Alzira
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs UD Alzira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira edged past Pena Deportiva 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day UD Alzira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 63% of the ball to UD Alzira's 37%, shots finished 7-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Pena Deportiva and 0.75 for UD Alzira.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs UD Alzira?

Pena Deportiva 0-1 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs UD Alzira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 40%, draw 29%, UD Alzira 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pena Deportiva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pena Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5
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