Union Sur Yaiza 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

Union Sur Yaiza
1-1 HT 0-1
Rayo Majadahonda
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Union Sur Yaiza vs Rayo Majadahonda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Sur Yaiza v Rayo Majadahonda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.22
+79% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.4
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Sur Yaiza and Rayo Majadahonda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Union Sur Yaiza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Union Sur Yaiza 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 41%, draw 27%, Rayo Majadahonda 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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