Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Hoffenheim
AFK
1-3
HT 1-2
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
0-1
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
2-3
HT 1-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Borussia Dortmund at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 54% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 46%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.50 to 1.01.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.00 for Hoffenheim.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim?
Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 59%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 went the other way.