Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 19:56
Match Result
HomeVIEW
73%
1.36
Draw
16%
4.67
Away
11%
6.07
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.35
Over
65%
1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.16
2-3
43%
1.95
4-5
31%
2.61
6+
11%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1.64
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
19.45
X/1
20%
3.7
X/2
4%
15.7
X/X
9%
7.76
2/1
3%
20.45
2/2
6%
11.3
2/X
3%
19.55
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Borussia Dortmund The Market 74%
Signal
AWAY Hoffenheim The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
0.78 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.00
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
451 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
416 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
01.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AFK
29.09.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-3 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
25.02.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
02.09.2022 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
22.01.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-3 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
1 - 1
AWAY Hoffenheim
0.50 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
376 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

File this under upsets: a 73% lean on Borussia Dortmund went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (65%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Borussia Dortmund had 54% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 46%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.50 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.00 for Hoffenheim.

Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Result & Final Score

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 73%, draw 16%, Hoffenheim 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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