RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.4
X/2
11%
6.59
X/X
13%
5.71
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
16%
4.03
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.58/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.43
-8% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.1 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
433 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
18.05.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
13.01.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.06.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
25.02.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.09.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
2-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.99 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
348 Passes 454
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig nicked a narrow win over Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day RB Leipzig made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 43% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 57%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.99 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.33 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 39%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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