Gzira United 2-1 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.7pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.2pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.69/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.18
+21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Balzan FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
04.02.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 1-1 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
23.09.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
15.04.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
03.12.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
12.02.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
2-1
AWAY Balzan FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Balzan FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gzira United had 50% of the ball to Balzan FC's 50%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Balzan FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gzira United and 1.00 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Balzan FC?

Gzira United 2-1 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 53%, draw 18%, Balzan FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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