Barcelona SC 2-1 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Dec 2025

📅15/12/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.42/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.34
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
20.5 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 234
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2025 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
03.08.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Orense Orense EKV1
15.04.2025 Orense Orense 3-1 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
18.08.2024 Orense Orense 3-2 HT 2-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
17.03.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
30.10.2023 Orense Orense 2-3 HT 2-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
2-1
AWAY Orense
2.09 xG 1.61
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
339 Passes 194
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC squeezed past Orense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 61% of the ball to Orense's 39%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 2.09 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.50 for Orense.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Orense?

Barcelona SC 2-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 58%, draw 25%, Orense 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
15 Dec 2025
00:30 Libertad vs LDU Quito Analysis →
00:30 Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Analysis →