Uni. Catolica 0-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Dec 2025

📅15/12/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.58/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.24
+100% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.3 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 363
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-2 HT 0-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
29.06.2025 Uni. Catolica 0-3 HT 0-3 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.03.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
28.09.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 5-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.04.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
26.08.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
0-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.60 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
446 Passes 375
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Uni. Catolica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Independiente Del Valle found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 54% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 46%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.60 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.83 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Uni. Catolica 0-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 36%, draw 30%, Independiente Del Valle 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5
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