Libertad vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
Libertad 2-1 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 2-1.
This one beat our numbers. LDU Quito carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Libertad had 53% of the ball to LDU Quito's 47%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.84 to 1.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 2.17 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of Libertad vs LDU Quito?
Libertad 2-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Libertad 18%, draw 23%, LDU Quito 59%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.