LDU Quito vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
4-2
HT 1-2
Libertad
EKV1
LDU Quito 3-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito got the better of Libertad 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, LDU Quito had 48% of the ball to Libertad's 52%, shots finished 20-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Libertad.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Libertad?
LDU Quito 3-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 68%, draw 17%, Libertad 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.