Celje 1-0 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jan 2024

Celje
1-0 HT 0-0
Osijek
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Celje vs Osijek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.1
Over 2.5
38%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
44%
+18.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
56%
-18.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celje v Osijek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 43%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.20/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-86% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Celje vs Osijek Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Osijek
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
29.01.2015 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-2 Celje Celje HAZ
POST-MATCH Celje vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje edged past Osijek 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Celje found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Celje vs Osijek?

Celje 1-0 Osijek in the Friendlies on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Celje 32%, draw 32%, Osijek 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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