Maribor 0-3 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
0-3
AWAY Nafta
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta cruised past Maribor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maribor had 30% of the ball to Nafta's 70%, shots finished 5-20.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Nafta?

Maribor 0-3 Nafta in the Friendlies on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Maribor 49%, draw 21%, Nafta 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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