Punjab FC 1-1 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
6%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 37% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.18
+38% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
15.3 Crosses 19.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Mumbai City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
200 Passes 436
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-3 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
02.03.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
16.01.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 3-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HINSK
02.11.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
1-1
AWAY Mumbai City
0.80 xG 1.29
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
226 Passes 414
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC and Mumbai City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mumbai City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Punjab FC had 40% of the ball to Mumbai City's 60%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.80 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Punjab FC and 2.00 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs Mumbai City?

Punjab FC 1-1 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 25%, draw 28%, Mumbai City 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mumbai City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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