Eldense 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.96
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.55
X/2
16%
5.66
X/X
16%
3.83
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
17%
4.09
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Deportivo La Coruna win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.35
+11% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.5 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.47
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 16
217 Passes 422
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 54
14 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
2-0
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.87 xG 0.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
196 Passes 475
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense got the better of Deportivo La Coruna 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Eldense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eldense had 35% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 65%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.87 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Eldense 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eldense 34%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Coruna 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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