Real Oviedo 1-0 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 36% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
19%
4.05
X/2
13%
9.67
X/X
12%
4.42
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
8.42
2/X
10%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Real Oviedo win — 45%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.52/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.44
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
25.5 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Albacete
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
317 Passes 277
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
09.03.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
13.10.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.02.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
15.10.2022 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
30.01.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-0
AWAY Albacete
1.09 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
485 Passes 335
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo edged past Albacete 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 58% of the ball to Albacete's 42%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.09 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.00 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Albacete?

Real Oviedo 1-0 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 45%, draw 29%, Albacete 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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