Real Zaragoza vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Zaragoza v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Real Zaragoza vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Real Zaragoza
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-2
HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
Real Zaragoza 0-1 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos squeezed past Real Zaragoza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Real Zaragoza had 49% of the ball to Burgos's 51%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.24 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.17 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Burgos?
Real Zaragoza 0-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 42%, draw 32%, Burgos 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza) went the other way.